Premier League Betting Guide for 7/21/20
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Watford vs. Manchester City
Manchester City +2 (no push) +230
The gap in talent between these two sides is extremely apparent as City are 41 points and 71 goals ahead of Watford in the table. City are ahead by a similarly comical 63.4 expected goals, per FBRef, and they rank 17 spots higher in WhoScored.com’s team rankings.
City have gone 6W-0D-2L in league games since the restart, and five of their wins were by three goals or more. In total, City have had 12 league wins by at least three goals, including an 8-0 thrashing of Watford in their meeting earlier this season.
City have consistently beaten up on weaker opponents this season, and a blowout could certainly be in the works here. Watford are 17th in the league and will be outclassed in this match, so take City to win by more than two.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
Arsenal to win +110
Arsenal have had a lackluster season to say the least, but they have still been miles ahead of Aston Villa. The Gunners have gone 13W-14D-9L this season with a +8 goal difference, putting them 22 points and 35 goals ahead of Aston Villa for the season. Villa are also last in the league in expected goal difference and are just 1-3-4 since the restart.
On the flip side, Arsenal have been on an impressive run recently -- with a 2-1 win over Liverpool in their last league match followed by a 2-0 win over Manchester City in the FA Cup semifinals.
Arsenal are the much better team and have been in much better form of late. The Gunners should win this match.