Premier League Betting Guide: Friday 6/19/20
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Norwich vs. Southampton
Southampton to win +120
Southampton are currently having a lackluster season, as their 10W-4D-15L record puts them in 14th place on the year. However, they have had success against the bottom feeders in the league, and they boast a 4-0-1 record against the current bottom four. By FBRef's expected goals, the Saints have been one of the unluckiest teams in the league. Their expected goal differential is just -1.2, miles from their actual goal differential of -17. Expected goal differential has Southampton as the league's eighth-best side.
Norwich are clearly the worst team in the league this season, and they are extremely likely to get relegated. The Canaries are five points behind 19th-place Aston Villa, they have the worst goal difference in the league by 5 goals, and they have the worst team rating, according to WhoScored.com.
Every metric indicates that Norwich are terrible, and Southampton is a tier above the bottom feeders in the EPL. The Saints should be able to find three points from this game.
Manchester United vs. Tottenham
Both to Teams to Score (No) +114
This should be a pretty evenly matched game, as only four points separate United and Tottenham in the table. Manchester United has been a defensive juggernaut this season with only 30 goals allowed on the year, and as the season has progressed, they have been skewing even more toward defense.
In Man United's last 12 matches, both teams have scored in just two of them, as the Red Devils have shut out opponents six times during that stretch, while being blanked themselves on five occasions.
United are leaning heavily on a defensive mentality, and it will likely result in a low-scoring game against Spurs. A late winner may separate these two sides, but there is a good chance that the game ends at 1-0 or a similar scoreline that involves just one team scoring.