3 NFL Prop Bets to Target for Week 2
With one week of action finally in the books, fantasy enthusiasts can stay involved in the NFL action through the FanDuel SportsBook. FanDuel provides a variety of lines, player props, and parlays, allowing people to showcase their knowledge.
Player props closely mirror the game of fantasy football, allowing people to stay involved in a familiar way. With Week 2 already underway, here are a few standout prop bets for Sunday's action in Week 2
Ben Roethlisberger Over 290.5 Passing Yards (-108)
Coming off a dismal 33-3 loss to the New England Patriots last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers find themselves in a bounce-back spot at home against the Seattle Seahawks. Right now, Ben Roethlisberger's passing yardage prop comes in at 290.5 yards, providing some solid value.
Looking at our player projections, our models peg Roethlisberger for 306.5 passing yards, giving him a 15-yard edge on his listed prop. Last season, Big Ben threw at a league-high rate and eclipsed 290.5 passing yards on eight occasions.
This week, Roethlisberger draws a tantalizing matchup against a poor Seattle secondary. Just last week, the Seahawks allowed Andy Dalton to pass for 418 yards. Somehow, Seattle still ranks 18th in pass defense, per our schedule-adjusted metrics, despite consistently brutal play from Tre Flowers and Shaquill Griffin. Things have gotten so desperate that Seattle may resort to Jamar Taylor in the slot. Either way, the matchup looks solid for Big Ben
With -108 odds on the over, a $100 bet on Roethlisberger's 290.5 passing yardage prop nets $92.59. In one of the week's top bounce-back spots, Big Ben provides plenty of value in Week 2.
Ezekiel Elliott Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
After reporting only a few days before playing in Week 1, the Dallas Cowboys predictably lessened Ezekiel Elliott's workload in a blowout win over the New York Giants. However, another week into the year, Elliott's 71.5 rushing yards prop looks tantalizing in Week 2.
Right now, our projections slate Elliott for 100.15 rushing yards. This gives Zeke almost a full 30 rushing yards above his prop in value. Importantly, Zeke and the Cowboys play this game as 6.0-point favorites over Washington. Washington should keep this contest somewhat close, boding well for Elliott's overall numbers and preventing Dallas from sitting their star back for much of the final stanza.
Looking at last year alone, the Cowboys showed comfort giving Elliott an absolutely massive workload. On the year, he recorded a league-high 304 carries and saw another 95 targets in the passing game. Dallas appeared to be firing on all cylinders offensively in Week 1, and they enter Week 2 with the number-two overall offense, per our schedule-adjusted metrics.
As it stands, a $100 bet on Zeke passing his 71.5 rushing yards prop nets $89.29. With almost 30 full yards of value, the over looks like a no-brainer unless we get reports of Dallas scaling back his workload once again.
Travis Kelce Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Playing without Tyreek Hill for the foreseeable future, Travis Kelce looks like a primary beneficiary in the Kansas City Chiefs' offense. Heading into Week 2, bookmakers took notice of Kelce's elevated target projection and raised his receiving yardage prop to 81.5 yards. However, with the Chiefs likely moving the ball at will, this line still doesn't appear high enough.
Examining our player projections, Kelce's 92.97 receiving yards project to lead all pass catchers -- not just right ends. Based on the numbers alone, Kelce provides almost 12 yards of value on his receiving prop. However, the matchup looks solid here, as well. Last year, the Oakland Raiders allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to the tight end position (1,060). While they were not tested by a tight end in Week 1, their secondary still has major concerns.
With a 53.5-point over/under and a 7.5-point spread in the Chiefs' favor, bookmakers project KC to move the ball well this week. Right now, a $100 bet on Kelce surpassing 81.5 receiving yards nets $92.59.
Matthew Gajewski is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Matthew Gajewski also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mgajewski. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.