College Football Daily Fantasy Helper: Saturday 11/9/19 Main Slate
Here we are in Week 11, and if you haven't already gotten into the action it's a great time to plunge into college football DFS. This week's main Saturday slate is a monster, with 16 games on the board.
As for the basics, your roster consists of a quarterback slot, two running back slots, three wide receiver slots (which also includes tight ends) and one super flex slot. In the flex, you can insert one player from any position, including quarterbacks.
Here, our goal is to help you field a roster full of fantasy goodness, and in true numberFire fashion, we'll use our in-house projections as well as betting totals and advanced statistics to tackle as many slates as possible in the lead-up to the College Football Playoff. Today, we are looking at Saturday's main slate which locks at 12:00 p.m. EST.
Let's break down which players are in great spots as well as identify some players with cheap price tags that will allow you to roster the high dollar players.
Justin Fields, Ohio State ($10,800) - A great quarterback? Check. At home? Check. Against a bad defense? And check. Fields checks all the boxes this week as he and the Ohio State Buckeyes host the Maryland Terrapins in Columbus on Saturday afternoon. They are massive 43-point favorites, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, and that gives them a slate-high 54-point implied total. And as we alluded to, this Maryland team is just bad on the defensive side, having allowed 30.0 points per game on 262.8 passing yards per game. On four occasions, they have given up at least 300 yards, including three where they've allowed 300-plus and and three scores through the air. Woof. And you're telling me Fields is $1,200 cheaper than Jalen Hurts? Sign me up.
Trevor Lawrence, Clemson ($9,200) - Early on, Lawrence has gotten a lot of flack for not living up to the Heisman expectations. But over the last three games, the Clemson signal caller has really turned it on, producing an average of 27.1 FanDuel points with at least 218 yards and three touchdowns in each game. He's now gone four straight games with three passing scores, all on top of two rushing touchdowns on 28 total carries. This Saturday's matchup is a favorable one, too. North Carolina State is expected to give up 43 points on their home turf on the heels of two games in which they've allowed a combined 89 points. The Tigers' offense should produce as they look to impress the committee down the stretch.
Jett Duffey, Texas Tech ($8,900) - For a little bit more value, you can look to Texas Tech's Jett Duffey, who provides a high ceiling alongside a lower floor. Unlike past Red Raider quarterbacks, he doesn't always throw for 300- or 400-plus yards, yet he has two games of at least 28.7 FanDuel points in the last four. He maxed out at 40.6 four games back, and he's proven himself capable on the ground. Most encouraging, though, is that he has completed 73.4% of his passes over the last three, and in doing so, he is averaging 290.7 passing yards with five passing touchdowns. Tech draws a West Virginia defense that allows 7.38 adjusted yards per pass attempt (third-worst on the slate) and two passing touchdowns per game. A 2.5-point spread (in the Raiders' favor) suggests a close game, and Duffey should take full advantage at under $9,000.
J.K. Dobbins, Ohio State ($10,000) - Oftentimes, you will only want to target either the passing game or run game for one team, based on game script, but this is a spot in which you can roll with the quarterback and running back from OSU. It's very likely that of the Buckeyes' seven-plus touchdowns, Fields and Dobbins account for five or six -- if not all -- of them. The junior has 11 touchdowns (nine rushing) through eight games and is averaging 7.2 yards per carry for the second time in three years. He's received at least 17 carries in all but one game, and in his last four, he's averaged 21.5 attempts for 158.3 yards and a touchdown per contest (a total of 26.6 FanDuel points per game). With his team favored by so much, the run game will be relied on heavily throughout, making Dobbins quite possibly the best play of the day.
Breece Hall, Iowa State ($9,000) - This is definitely a tournament-only play. Hall and his Iowa State Cyclones are two-touchdown underdogs on the road against Oklahoma, but the game should remain in reach, and if Iowa State is going to make that happen, they'll need Hall to deliver. Plus, OU hasn't faced many teams like this -- one mainly built on a strong running game and the nation's 17th-ranked offense, per SP+. With Brock Purdy at quarterback, this balanced attack could catch them off guard, especially with the Sooners surrendering 213 rushing yards and six touchdowns two weeks ago against Kansas State. Hall has averaged 130.3 rushing yards and 32.7 FanDuel points per game over the last three, so he could ride the hot hand in this one.
DeeJay Dallas, Miami ($8,200) - Dallas is one of those odd standalone plays you will want to fit in this week. Miami is a solid favorite at home against Louisville, who is second-worst by our adjusted rushing yards allowed per attempt. And prior to last week, they had allowed 200-plus rushing yards in three consecutive games. Dallas' workload isn't super big, and he's averaged just 15.2 FanDuel points on 11.5 carries, but you don't need a ton of points for value. What you do need is a cheap back to allow you to do more of what you need, and that's pay up for tournament-winning studs like Fields and Dobbins.
CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma ($9,600) - Just because Fields is a better point-per-dollar play than Hurts doesn't mean you avoid the high-powered Oklahoma offense altogether. After all, they are projected for 41 points, per the betting odds, and this close affair -- OU is favored by just 14.5 at home -- could keep the Hurts-Lamb connection going late into the game. Against the Cyclones and their top-20 defense, the better opportunity is against the pass. While Iowa State could lock down the secondary run game, they have allowed 200-plus passing yards in six games this season, and there have been four games in which their opponents have thrown for two-plus scores. Lamb has 11 touchdowns to his name for the year, but 8 have come through in the last five games. In that same span, he's yielded three games of at least 21.5 FanDuel points, including two of 40. It's hard to fade that kind of slate-breaking potential.
Chris Olave, Ohio State ($8,600) - Olave has earned the right to be called the premier stacking option for Fields. He has gone back-to-back games with two scores, now accounting for 402 receiving yards and eight touchdowns in his sophomore season. The 6'1" target is a big-play threat, and that goes against the weakness of the Terps' defense. Earlier in the year against Penn State, versus a similar talent in K.J. Hamler, Maryland allowed the receiver to go off for six catches, 108 yards and a touchdown (19.8 FanDuel points). At an affordable price, Olave has to be in your Fields lineups this week.
Justyn Ross, Clemson ($7,800) - Relying on two offenses so much can prove an issue in some situations, but Clemson and Ohio State are worth the investment. Pairing Ross with Lawrence could especially pay off in tournaments. The speedy Tigers receiver has turned 36 catches into 444 yards and five touchdowns in 2019, and that's after tallying 46 catches, 1,000 yards and nine scores last year. He has somewhat under-achieved at the same time as Lawrence has, yet there is serious upside. Ross had 20.6 FanDuel points against Florida State, and since then, he has 13 catches (on 17 targets) for 165 total yards and two trips to the end zone. Clemson's high total paves the way for another score in Week 10.
Brett Oswalt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Brett Oswalt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username BrettOswalt. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.