College Football Daily Fantasy Helper: Saturday 11/2/19 Main Slate
Week 10 is nigh, and if you haven't already it's a great time to get in on college football DFS. This week's main Saturday slate is a monster, with another 15 games on tap.
As for the basics, your roster consists of a quarterback slot, two running back slots, three wide receiver slots (which also includes tight ends) and one super flex slot. In the flex, you can insert one player from any position, including quarterbacks.
Here, our goal is to help you field a roster full of fantasy goodness, and in true numberFire fashion, we'll use our in-house projections as well as betting totals and advanced statistics to tackle as many slates as possible in the lead-up to the College Football Playoff. Today, we are looking at Saturday's main slate which locks at 12:00 p.m. EST.
Let's break down which players are in great spots as well as identify some players with cheap price tags that will allow you to roster the high dollar players.
Dillon Gabriel, UCF ($9,400) - At the top of the slate, we have the UCF Knights with an implied total of 46.25 points. Needless to say, we are going to want some serious exposure as they take on the struggling Houston Cougars at their home field, and it all starts at quarterback. Gabriel, the freshman signal caller, is averaging 21.4 FanDuel points per game on 10.8 adjusted yards per attempt and a 168.2 rating, per Sports Reference. Since fully taking over in Week 3 against Stanford, he has thrown for at least 280 yards in all but one game while throwing for two-plus scores in all but one. He has upside in the high 20s and might just hit 30 in a favorable matchup like this.
Justin Herbert, Oregon ($8,900) - Over in the Pac 12, the Oregon Ducks head into the Coliseum to take on USC, and they're giving 4.5 points in the process. As a result, the Ducks have a 33.25 implied total, which is far off the top mark but more than respectable, especially for a close game. And when you think Oregon, the first person you go to is next-level quarterback Justin Herbert. Through eight matchups, the uber-talented passer is completing 68.3% of his passes with 263 yards and 2.6 passing touchdowns per game. He's had only three true blow-up games, but one of those was on the road against a Pac 12 foe -- and a tougher defense -- in Washington. This USC defense is 49th in the nation and shouldn't pose too much of a threat to Herbert's fantasy output on Saturday night.
Tommy DeVito, Syracuse ($7,100) - Syracuse and Boston College are fifth and seventh in the ACC Atlantic division, having gone a combined 2-7 in the conference and 7-9 overall. The Orange have been the lesser of the two squads, but nevertheless, they are 3.0-point favorites with a 31.5 implied total. For reference, 'Cuse averages just 23.8 points per game, so DeVito and his offense should see an uptick in production against the Eagles. At home and at this low of a price, the quarterback is a solid play for tournaments only. He has struggled in back-to-back games, but before that, he went through a three-game stretch with nine passing touchdowns, one rushing and a total of 954 combined yards (318 per game). He needs just 14.2 FanDuel points to bring back two-times value at this cost.
Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State ($10,800) - Hubbard costs an arm and a leg, but -- like Christian McCaffrey in NFL DFS -- he's worth every penny. The man averages 33.3 FanDuel points -- 3.5 more than the next-closest back while also exceeding the per-game averages of every quarterback and receiver out there. Just last game, the Oklahoma State back totaled 100-plus yards for a sixth straight outing en route to one touchdown and 19.7 FanDuel points. And it turns out that's the absolute floor for this stud back, who has managed two games of at least 34.2 points in his last four. His opponent, TCU, doesn't have the softest of defenses, but they have allowed 100 rushing yards in five games and for a total of 11 scores over seven contests. Hubbard will get his as a slight home favorite.
Zach Charbonnet, Michigan ($8,500) - If you are paying up for someone like Hubbard, you need to find value elsewhere, but you don't always have to give up upside. Charbonnet is a player with the opportunity to go big at a lower price, as he possesses three straight games of at least 15.6 FanDuel points. And the workload has been there. He's drawn 16 attempts per game for 90.3 yards and a total of five touchdowns in that same time frame. Michigan is favored by three touchdowns on the road at Maryland, where they will face off against a defensive unit that has allowed 151.3 rushing yards and 1.6 rushing scores per game. They have been hit up for six rushing touchdowns over the last two weeks alone. When all is said and done, Charbonnet could be the best point-per-dollar play of the day.
Otis Anderson, UCF ($7,800) - For UCF, running back Adrian Killins left last week's game with an injury, and while he'll play, we could see him get limited opportunities in a blowout. That should lead to more work for Anderson, who had a coming out party of his own last week, when the sophomore ran for 205 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries. He's now averaging 6.8 yards per carry and has 285 yards across the last two weeks. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Knights are 21.5-point home favorites, which bodes well for Anderson and the running game.
Gabriel Davis, UCF ($9,600) - To round out the trio of UCF options, Davis might be the most explosive of them all. To date, the junior wideout has turned 50 catches into 916 yards and 10 touchdowns. He had a down game for his standards last time out, but he still made it five straight weeks with at least 80 yards. In fact, he's had 119 or more yards in four of the last five, and that includes three games with two or more scores. The touchdown potential is massive with such a high total against a Houston team allowing 287.8 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns on a per-game basis.
Damonte Coxie, Memphis ($8,000) - Naturally, many DFS players will opt for SMU's top target, James Proche, at a much higher price. But Memphis is favored and pegged for a 38.75 total, meaning Coxie is in as good of a spot if not a better one. The 6'3" junior had over 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns last season, and though his production has been down on the whole, he is fresh off a 5-catch, 112-yard performance last week. He now has four games with at least 80 yards, and he's averaging 4.7 catches a game for the Tigers. The Mustangs don't offer much resistance, either, as opponents have averaged 270.9 yards and 2.6 passing scores against them in 2019.
Cole Kmet, Notre Dame ($7,800) - There should be a decent amount of ownership around Notre Dame and their weapons. That includes receiver Chase Claypool, but don't forget about the team's solid tight ends. Kmet stands 6'6" and 255 pounds -- the frame of a true red zone weapon, which he's proven to be. Of his 23 catches, four have gone for scores, and he now has 290 receiving yards to his credit. In his last three games, he's managed 117 yards on 10 catches. Ian Book's been looking Kmet's way, and he should continue to do just that against this Virginia Tech defense. Ranked 65th in defensive SP+, the Hokies have been more susceptible through the air, where they have allowed 250.9 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game.
Brett Oswalt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Brett Oswalt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username BrettOswalt. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.