3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 8/4/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Luka Doncic, Over 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
Luka Doncic has attempted 20 or more shots in each of his first two games of the bubble, averaging 34.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, 10.5 assists per game. Doncic had 40 points, 11 assists, and eight rebounds in his last performance, and in the Dallas Mavericks' opening game, he had a triple-double of 28 points, 13 rebounds, and 11 assists -- hitting the over on this line in both games.
Doncic has met the Sacramento Kings three times this season, and in those meetings, the European superstar had at least 25 points, eight assists, and seven rebounds in all three.
Doncic totaled one triple-double and one double-double in two of three meetings with the Kings, and he went over 48.5 combined points, boards and assists in two of three games. numberFire's model predicts Doncic to total 30.9 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 9.6 assists for a 50.2 total. The model has him at 36 minutes, and he's seen 38 and 42 in the first two games of the bubble. When Doncic plays 30 to 39 minutes this season, he's averaging 29.6 points, 9.2 assists, and 9.1 rebounds, totaling an average of 47.9 combined points, rebounds and assists.
Gordon Hayward, Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)
Gordon Hayward and the Boston Celtics face the Miami Heat for the third time this season, and all meetings have come on a back-to-back for the Heat. It's a little unfair for Miami, yes, but it's a massive advantage in seeding and player prop betting for Boston backers.
Hayward has met the Heat once this year, and he recorded 29 points, eight rebounds, and one assist on 10-for-14 shooting (71.4%) in 38 minutes. When Hayward plays between 30 and 39 minutes on the season, he averages 18.7 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 4.1 assists.
Hayward's projected to total 17.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 3.9 assists in 33 minutes -- hitting the over with 27.9 total points, rebounds, assists. In Haward's last two games of the bubble, he's crushed that number with 32 and 33 combined points, boards and dimes versus the Bucks and Trail Blazers, respectively. He's played 34 and 35 minutes in the first two resumed games, and that's a plus for his usage.
With Kemba Walker dealing with a minute restriction due to past injuries, Hayward should continue to play a more significant role in the Celtics' offense versus the Heat in their first back-to-back of the seeding games.
Carmelo Anthony, Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120)
Carmelo Anthony will face his former Houston Rockets squad for the third time this season, and he had two great games in the first two matchups. Anthony is known for his scoring ability, but versus the Rockets, he snagged more rebounds (25) than points (23) over the two meetings with Houston. Anthony totaled 12 and 13 boards, compared to five and 18 points in . Melo is projected to finish with 5.7 rebounds today, but if he plays as he has in the past versus them, six boards should be no problem for him.
And since those earlier games, the Rockets have traded Clint Capela and are relying on Robert Covington and P.J. Tucker to play power forward and center. Melo could eat tonight for a potential double-double, which would be his second versus Houston this year, and the Rockets' small-ball lineup lacks rebounding because of the tallest player in the lineup being 6-foot-7.
The Bucks trio of Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, and Khris Middleton recently combined for 42 rebounds versus Houston, and Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis totaled 29 together in their bubble date with the Rockets. Anthony can be one of a few players for the Blazers to record six or more rebounds tonight.