3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 7/6/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the MLB. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Nick Pivetta OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Nick Pivetta is averaging 10.78 strikeouts per 9 innings and sporting a 28.1% strikeout rate as a starter this season. After a pair of appearances out of the bullpen, Pivetta is back on the mound in the battle for Pennsylvania tonight.
Freddy Peralta OVER 6 Strikeouts (-130)
Even though Atlanta does not strike out much, Peralta owns a 37.7% strikeout rate this season, and in his lone home start so far this year, the right-hander racked up 10 punch-outs over 7 scoreless innings. Tonight, our models project Peralta for 7.05 strikeouts.
Aaron Judge OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-130)
That makes him an above-average prop selection, too, especially with only -130 odds on the over. The Yankees are up against Sam Gaviglio, who has allowed a .517 slugging percentage and .360 wOBA to right-handed batters in his career as a starter. Combine that with Judge's .426 wOBA and .312 isolated power versus right-handed pitching, and our models project Judge for 3.43 runs, hits, and RBI.